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今天看了一篇文章，叫做10項不值得在2010年購買的產品，這篇文章是以美國的觀點來寫的，我這裡想要談一談以台灣的觀點，這十點是否如此。


先把十項在此列出來:

一、DVDs, DVD及相關產品。
二、Home telephone service, 家用電話服務。
三、External hard drives, 外接式硬碟。
四、Smartphone also-rans, 智慧型手機(若干不成功的失敗者)。
五、Compact digital cameras, 數位傻瓜相機。
六、Newspaper subscriptions, 訂閱報紙。
七、CDs, 雷射唱片。
八、New college textbooks, 全新的大學教科書。
九、Gas-guzzling cars, 耗油車輛。
十、Energy-inefficient homes and appliances, 非節能房屋及家電用品。


1. DVDs
我認為DVD跟DVD Player來說，DVD的收藏可以減緩了，因為BD已經會慢慢的出現了，而如果家中的DVD Player壞了，那可以考慮買低價的DVD Player，但是高價的DVD Player我認為不如買BD，因為FullHD高解析度的時代要來臨了。同時，如果要買液晶電視或電漿電視，也要注意解析度，還有有沒有HDMI的接頭。如果解析度不到720p，沒有HDMI接頭的話，那這台電視的壽命大概不會太久。


2. Home telephone service
以台灣來說，大多數的人上網還是要依賴ADSL，所以一定得辦中華電信的市內電話。而且家中如果有老人家，也一定要用市內電話來溝通，對於手機總是比較不行。我認為市內電話服務對於年輕人來說是可有可無了，除非是一定需要ADSL，對老人家來說，究還是要有才行。


3. External hard drives
在原文當中，已經用雲端的儲存裝置來取代外接式硬碟，但是這跟網路的頻寬息息相關，而且台灣並沒有哪家很棒的雲端儲存服務。所以對這點來說，外接式硬碟，如果你需要，還是得買吧。不過大家要記得一件事情，不管是USB拇指碟或者是外接式硬碟，都是【有可能】故障的，所以.....資料請不要只放一份，要狡兔三窟啊。


4. Smartphone also-rans
這點其實是說，不要買【不成功】的智慧型手機。原文當中，首推的是黑莓機，可是在台灣大家對黑莓機其實....不太了解與在乎，更不論很多人根本不知道啥是黑莓機，啥是黑莓服務。(也不知道只有台灣大哥大有黑莓服務)。知道最多的應該就是iPhone了吧。以我的觀點，我會認為，如果你要買智慧型手機，大家不要買山寨的iPhone，因為那根本不算是智慧型手機。請買....1.HTC Hero或其他Android手機2.iPhone(不過我還是不太喜歡它)


5. Compact digital cameras
數位傻瓜相機我認為還是可以買。不過請不要買五千塊以下的，那個拍出來可能效果真的不太好，至少請買五千塊以上的數位傻瓜相機。至於單眼呢，那是個錢坑，真正喜歡拍照想多多拍照的人，再買單眼吧，如果只是想要記錄生活，那買傻瓜相機就好了....


6. Newspaper subscriptions
越來越多年輕人不訂報紙了，都看新聞，而且以看奇摩新聞最多。不過我個人會說，家裡有老人家的話還是得訂報，沒有的話，也不要看奇摩新聞，看Google新聞比較好。因為Google新聞會把相關新聞串成一串，你可以看看各家報紙的說法....(沒辦法，在台灣的媒體環境，同一個新聞會被不同的媒體各自解讀，我們要學會看看所有人的說法再進行判斷)


7. CDs
我認為，因為台灣還沒有完整的數位音樂購買機制，另外MP3的音質，比起CD來說，還是有差。所以，要支持自己所喜歡的歌手，或者是想要享受最高音質的音樂，還是去買CD吧!!


8. New college textbooks
這點的話不很認同，雖然網路上有許多的資源可以取代教科書，可是老師用新版教科書上課的時候，還是得買啊。而且新版【理論上】會有新的內容。不過要看授課的老師啦，例如我老板的課就可以不用買書了，老闆會有【非常完整】的投影片讓大家下載，就可以不需要買書了。


9. Gas-guzzling cars
耗油車真的不要買了，另外我推薦買【省油胎】，這樣讓你的車能夠更省油。


10. Energy-inefficient homes and appliances
一樣，我們現在要節能減碳救地球...所以要買節能的家電用品。首要來說，不要再用【燈泡】了，請用省電燈泡，真的可以省很多電喔。


以上是我小小的己見，可以給各位參考‧‧‧

10 Things Not to Buy in 2010

Ten years ago, most homes relied on dial-up connections to access the Internet and iPods, flat-screen TVs and the Nintendo Wii didn’t exist.

As we prepare to ring in 2010, consumer should expect to see more revolutionary products supplanting old mainstays. In media, DVDs, books, newspapers and magazines will continue to lose ground to services like in-home movie rentals and gadgets like the Amazon (AMZN: 127.14, -0.21, -0.16%) Kindle. In big-ticket items, the push for energy efficiency will continue to influence consumer decisions on cars and home upgrades.

As a result, some consumer products appear poised for a dip in sales, which could be a prelude to obsolescence. Here are 10 items not to buy in 2010.


　1. DVDs
The days of going to a video shop to rent a movie are at an end. In September, Blockbuster (BBI: 0.80, +0.01, +1.26%) said it plans to close roughly 22% of its stores by the end of 2010; meanwhile, third-quarter revenue was down 21% from the year-ago period. (The company didn’t return calls for comment.)

Looking ahead, DVD purchases could turn cold, as well. On average, DVDs sell for at least $20 each. That’s pricier than signing up for Netflix (NFLX: 50.95, -0.04, -0.07%) or renting movies from cable providers’ on-demand channels. Netflix charges as little as $8.99 a month to rent one DVD at a time (with no limit to the number of monthly rentals).

Time Warner Cable offers thousands of movies on demand for around $4.99 each. Verizon Fios cable service charges $5.99 a month to download unlimited movies.


　2. Home telephone service
It will probably take a while, but home landlines could become as archaic as the rotary phone.

According to a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention study, more than one in five U.S. homes (22.7%) had Cellphones – and no landlines – during the first half of 2009, up from 10.5% during the same period in 2006.

Ditching your home phone is easier now than it has been in the past, as cell phone companies compete for greater market share and alternatives to the home landline continue growing. For example, magicJack provides phone service when it’s plugged into a computer’s USB port and a home phone. It costs $39.95 and includes a one-year license for calls in the U.S. and Canada; after that, service costs $19.95 per year. (By contrast, Time Warner Cable’s digital home phone service costs $39.95 per month.)

And, consider Skype, which is free when you communicate with other Skype users; this software application uses the Internet as a platform to make calls, hold video conferences and send instant messages.


　3. External hard drives
Consumers who keep their computers for years and upload thousands of songs, videos, movies and photos will need to get more space at some point.

External hard drives are one option, but an up-and-coming alternative might be simpler and save you another transition down the road. Online backup services, like Carbonite.com or Mozy.com, allow users to back up data over the Internet.

These services are more expensive than purchasing an external hard drive, which typically starts at around $70. At Carbonite.com, a one-year subscription starts at $54.95, and at Mozy.com monthly subscription costs total $54.45 for a year.


　4. Smartphone also-rans
In the past few years, several smartphones hit the market with similar features to the iPhone and BlackBerry, but they haven’t generated the same buzz. As a result, fewer developers are likely to create applications and other products that cater to those phones.

Today, the BlackBerry dominates the Smartphone market with 40% market share, followed by the iPhone with 25%, according to data released by ComScore in December. In the near term, both are expected to stay at the top. ComScore found that most consumers who’ll be shopping for smartphones in the next three months plan to purchase a Blackberry (51%) or an iPhone (20%).

By contrast, only 5% of respondents said they planned to purchase T-Mobile’s MyTouch. The Palm Pre and Palm Centro received 2% and 1% of the vote, respectively.


　5. Compact digital cameras
For nearly a decade, digital compact cameras were must-haves for most consumers.

But during the past several years, another type of digital camera has been slowly rising in popularity: the single-lens reflex (SLR) camera, from manufacturers including Nikon, Canon (CAJ: 41.87, -0.42, -0.99%), Sony (SNE: 33.34, -0.39, -1.15%) and Olympus. Although bulkier, these cameras produce pictures that more accurately represent what’s in their viewfinders than those that use older technology.

They’re also pricier. For example, Canon’s digital compact cameras start at $110, while the SLRs start at $570.


　6. Newspaper subscriptions
The past few years have been unkind to the publishing industry.

In 2008, newspaper advertising revenues declined by 17.7%, according to the Newspaper Association of America. Meanwhile, average daily circulation at 379 newspapers fell 10.6% from April through September 2009, compared to the same period a year ago, according to the Audit Bureau of Circulations.

Magazines haven’t fared any better. In 2009, more than 360 magazines shut down. During the first half of 2009, ad pages fell 27.9% when compared to the same period in 2008, according to Publishers Information Bureau.

The morning newspaper has been replaced by a growing online media presence – much of which is accessible for free. The Amazon Kindle – even with its price tag of around $250 – and other eBook readers could increasingly become one-stop sources to access newspapers, magazines and books.


　7. CDs
When was the last time you bought a CD or even walked into a record store?

The past decade was one of the worst for the industry. In the beginning, there was Napster. Then came iTunes, which was introduced in 2001 and offered affordable pricing and easy accessibility. Face it, CDs aren’t coming back.

Record stores are feeling the pinch. Most Virgin Megastores in the U.S. have shut down following declines in sales and revenues. In 2004, Tower Records entered bankruptcy and by 2006 most locations had closed.


　8. New college textbooks
Unless a student absolutely needs brand-new textbooks, they can use several alternatives to save.

Shop for used textbooks, which can help you save 70% to 90% off the retail price, says Mike Gatti, the executive director at the Retail Advertising and Marketing Association, a trade group. Check out web sites like CheapestTextbooks.com, Booksprice.com or Amazon.com. Many college bookstores also sell used texts.

Another option is downloading books online. Sites like Coursesmart.com sell subscriptions to digital copies of more than 7,000 textbooks. TextbookMedia.com allows students to download textbooks for free. You can also rent textbooks on Chegg.com.


　9. Gas-guzzling cars
Skyrocketing gasoline prices dominated headlines during most of the decade, and they remain volatile.

The Energy Information Administration estimates that crude oil prices will average around $77 a barrel for the fourth quarter of 2009, up from $42.90 in the first quarter. The EIA also projects prices will rise in 2010 to their highest point in more than two years: $81.33 a barrel.

Recent announcements by car manufacturers to mass produce fuel-efficient cars could help push consumers away from gas-guzzling vehicles.

According to the Department of Energy, the most efficient cars include the Honda Civic Hybrid, which gets 40 miles per gallon (mpg) in the city and 45 mpg on the highway, the Volkswagen Jetta and Golf (both run on diesel), which each get 30 mpg in the city and 41 mpg on the highway, and the Toyota Prius hybrid (51/48 mpg).


　10. Energy-inefficient homes and appliances
Ten years ago, shopping for home upgrades involved looking at a product’s functionality and aesthetic. Now, there’s another component: energy efficiency.

Today, the products most touted by manufacturers and retailers are those that are Energy Star certified and those that meet new federal environmental standards – most of which have higher price tags than their counterparts but help to lower heating and cooling bills.

The government is offering a federal tax credit of up to $1,500 on energy-efficient home upgrades through Dec. 31, 2016. But many are set to expire by Dec. 31, 2010; these include eligible insulation, roofs and windows and doors.

An earlier version of this article misidentified Google’s Android as a potential competitor in the Smartphone market. Android is an operating system for mobile phones, not an actual phone.

夏荷

這個問題太深奧了！什麼是值得？什麼是不值得？說值得很值得，花錢買高興。說不值得真的一點都不值得，沒有什麼身外之物非得得。
（好吧！為了表示我不是來亂的，表示一點意見，單眼相機和傻瓜相機照出來的質感就是不一樣。）

[ 本帖最後由 夏荷 於 2010-1-18 23:30 編輯 ]